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Study 01 · Full analysis

How short is AI’s shortlist, and who is actually on it?

Research question: when someone asks AI for the best injury lawyer in Denver, how concentrated is the list of firms it names?

The hub gives the headline: the generic question is dominated at the top and fragments below. This page is the shape of it. How concentration was measured, the full curve from the leaders down to the long tail, and a finding that reframes everything: the firms AI names most are often not the firms Google ranks first.

Method

How we counted concentration without letting spelling fool us

For the generic “best personal injury lawyer in Denver” family of questions, we collected every answer each engine gave and counted, for every firm, in how many answers it appeared. One answer from one engine to one question is a single unit, so a firm named in half the answers has a share of 50%. Because we audited the full first page of Google, this is a census of a defined market, not a poll.

One step matters more than it sounds. AI writes the same firm many different ways, “Bachus & Schanker,” “Bachus & Schanker, LLC,” “Bachus and Schanker.” Left uncounted, that scatters one firm across several spellings and understates the real leaders. We reconciled every variant to a single canonical firm before counting, which is why the leaders here are higher and cleaner than a raw tally would show.

Why this matters for trust. Name reconciliation is the unglamorous step most AI-visibility claims skip. Skipping it inflates the apparent size of the field and shrinks the apparent leaders. Doing it is what lets us say “179 distinct firms” and mean 179 real firms, not 179 spellings.

The shape of the shortlist

A dominated top, and a tail of firms named once and never again

179distinct firms named
on the generic question
53%the most-named firm’s
share of answers
38%of named firms appeared
in just one answer
514distinct firms named
across all questions
Where the generic-question name-drops actually go
Top 5 firms
30%
Next 15 firms
39%
Remaining 159 firms
31%
A handful of leaders A middle tier The long tail
Read this as: the market has both a concentrated head and a vast tail. Twenty firms account for roughly 69% of all the times AI named anyone, so the top is genuinely dominated. But 159 firms split the remaining third, and 38% of all named firms appeared in exactly one answer before vanishing. Being named once is common. Being named consistently is rare and valuable.
The finding that reframes it

AI’s shortlist is not Google’s shortlist

Our study population was the top 30 firms on Google’s first page for “Denver personal injury attorney.” So a reasonable assumption is that the firms AI names would be those same first-page firms. They are not. Several of AI’s most-named firms were nowhere in Google’s first-page organic results for that query. Of the 20 firms AI named most, seven sit outside Google’s first page entirely.

AI’s most-named firms  ·  and whether Google ranked them on page one
FirmAI names it inOn Google page 1?
Bachus & Schanker53%Yes
Zaner Harden Law52%No
Denver Trial Lawyers46%Yes
Jeremy Rosenthal40%No
Anderson Hemmat36%No
Denver Personal Injury Lawyers31%Yes
Parker Lipman24%Yes
Tenge Law Firm24%No
Harding & Associates23%Yes
Franklin D. Azar & Associates23%No
Read this as: AI’s number-two most-recommended firm, Zaner Harden, was not on Google’s first page for the query that defined this study. Nor were Jeremy Rosenthal, Anderson Hemmat, Tenge, or Franklin Azar. “On Google page 1” means present in the top 30 organic results we audited for “Denver personal injury attorney”; a firm marked No may still run ads or rank for other phrasings. The point stands: the ranking AI produces is not the ranking Google produces.
Why this changes the game

A first-page Google ranking does not buy you a seat on AI’s list, and its absence does not lock you out.

For twenty years, the contest was Google’s ten blue links, and position was inherited by whoever had the most authority and budget. AI runs a different selection. It reads across directories, reviews, and coverage and assembles a list that only partly overlaps with Google’s. That cuts both ways. A firm can lead Google organically and still be thin in AI. A firm outside Google’s first page can be one of AI’s most-recommended. The old scoreboard does not decide the new one.

The ceiling

Even the leaders are missing from most answers

Concentration at the top is real, but it is not saturation. No firm in the study was named in more than 38% of its own core-practice queries, and on the generic question the leader tops out near half. That means even the most-recommended firms in Denver are absent from the majority of relevant answers. There is no incumbent that AI returns every time, which is exactly why the list is still contestable. The head is crowded. The room is in being named consistently rather than once, and in the practice-area lanes the next study opens up.

The playbook

What to do with a dominated generic term

Do not open on the generic phrase

“Best personal injury lawyer in Denver” is the most concentrated, most contested question in the set, and it is anchored by a few long-established names. It is the hardest place to make a first move and the last place to expect a quick return.

Aim for consistent, not occasional

Nearly 4 in 10 named firms appeared exactly once. A single mention is noise. The firms that matter are named across many answers, so the goal is repeat presence, which comes from being a durable, trusted source rather than a lucky one-off.

Stop treating Google rank as your AI scoreboard

Firms outside Google’s first page are among AI’s most-named, and strong Google firms can be thin in AI. Measure AI directly. A good organic ranking is not evidence of AI visibility, and a weak one is not a verdict.

Move the fight to a narrower question

The generic term is dominated, but the field fragments fast below it. The winnable contests are the specific practice-area questions, where the leader changes and the barrier is lower. That is where the next study goes.

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